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BTC Long-Short Ratio Indicates Shift as Altcoins Decline Below 1.0

The BTC long-short ratio rises as altcoins hover around 1.0, signaling a market trend divergence.

The recent behavior of the Bitcoin (BTC) long-short ratio suggests a significant market trend shift, particularly as many altcoins struggle to maintain their positions. As BTC”s ratio climbs, altcoins are observed hovering around the 1.0 mark, highlighting a growing divergence in sentiment between the two asset classes.

The long-short heatmap reveals several instances where BTC”s strength has coincided with declining average ratios among altcoins. This data, which spans from early 2023 to late 2025, clearly illustrates moments when BTC outperformed the altcoin sector, marked by light blue vertical bands on the chart.

In the upper section of the chart, three distinct lines are displayed: the black line representing BTC”s price, the purple line indicating BTC”s long-short ratio, and the orange line showing the altcoin average long-short ratio. It is evident when the purple line surpasses the orange line, indicating a period of BTC outperformance.

Historical patterns reveal that BTC surpassed the altcoin average in early 2023 and again in mid-2023 while the price hovered near the $30,000 level. Similar trends are visible into 2024, characterized by sharp fluctuations in trader positioning. Recent data shows BTC”s ratio rising again, whereas the altcoin average is trending downward, creating a substantial gap that signals a clear divergence.

The lower heatmap tracks long-short ratios for over 25 different cryptocurrencies, including ADA, APT, AVAX, BNB, DOGE, ETH, SOL, SHIB, UNI, and XRP. Each row illustrates daily ratio values through a color spectrum, from low readings in blue to high readings in red. Many altcoins have been noted spending extended periods near the 1.0 zone, represented by deep blue or light teal bands.

The heatmap indicates that altcoins like ETH, BNB, SOL, AVAX, and ADA displayed long stretches of blue blocks throughout mid-2024 and mid-2025, signaling periods of compressed long-short activity. Conversely, BTC demonstrates a contrasting pattern with frequent spikes above the altcoin average, reflecting heightened trader interest during market fluctuations.

This divergence indicates a waning risk appetite for altcoins in specific market phases. The compressed ranges seen in the heatmap further endorse this perspective, showing differing ratio patterns from the BTC trend line.

As BTC continues to rise toward higher ratio readings while altcoins linger in lower zones, a pressing question arises for traders: will altcoins reclaim higher ratio levels, or will BTC sustain its leadership in the market while altcoin ratios remain close to the 1.0 zone?

The chart does not provide forecasts; however, it does reveal a recurring pattern where BTC strength emerges during periods of significant divergence. The combination of the heatmap and upper chart effectively illustrates how these trends evolve across varying cycles.

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