As the Lunar New Year approaches on February 17, 2026, several artificial intelligence models have provided intriguing price forecasts for Bitcoin and XRP. According to the analyses, Bitcoin”s price is predicted to range from $90,000 to $155,000, while XRP could see values between $1.70 and $5.00.
At present, Bitcoin is trading around $68,567, reflecting a significant decline of approximately 28% over the past month. Similarly, XRP is priced at $1.46, having lost about 29% in the same timeframe. These declines mark a substantial retreat from their peaks in 2025, with Bitcoin down 45% from an October 2025 high of nearly $126,200.
Market sentiment remains cautious following early February corrections that tested the critical $60,000 support level. Institutional adoption and ETF flows are pivotal influences on Bitcoin”s price movements. Notably, major players like BlackRock hold over 773,000 BTC, while corporate treasuries, such as Strategy, hold 714,644 BTC. Current macroeconomic indicators show a paused Federal Reserve rate around 3%, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) hovering between 2.5% and 2.7%. Additionally, a weakening dollar and correlations with equity markets add layers of complexity to the market landscape.
Current XRP Analysis
XRP is facing challenges as well, currently down about 64% from its July 2025 high of $3.66. The token is supported by technical levels near $1.43, with resistance identified between $1.50 and $1.80. Short-term projections indicate a potential trading range of $1.00 to $1.50 for XRP. The token”s performance closely mirrors that of Bitcoin, exhibiting a correlation of 0.7 to 0.9. Easing market conditions and decreasing remittance costs contribute to XRP”s adoption.
AI Models” Price Predictions
Four AI models, namely ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and Perplexity, have each offered distinct price forecasts based on varying conditions. ChatGPT”s analysis highlights historical post-halving cycles, suggesting Bitcoin may reach between $110,000 and $130,000 under base conditions. In a weaker macro environment, projections drop to $95,000 to $105,000, while stronger institutional engagement could push prices up to $140,000 to $150,000. For XRP, ChatGPT anticipates a base scenario of between $2.00 and $3.00.
Claude”s model emphasizes the influence of interest rates and inflation, predicting Bitcoin could trade between $105,000 and $125,000 under base conditions, with lower liquidity scenarios keeping it around $90,000 to $100,000. Strong liquidity expansion could see Bitcoin rise to $135,000 to $145,000. For XRP, Claude”s projections suggest a base range of $2.20 to $3.20.
Grok envisions Bitcoin trading between $115,000 and $130,000, while its predictions for XRP indicate a base range of $2.50 to $3.50. Lastly, Perplexity”s analysis incorporates on-chain data and macroeconomic indicators, forecasting Bitcoin”s price to land between $108,000 and $128,000. In contrast, XRP”s base range is anticipated to be between $2.30 and $3.30.
Key Catalysts and Risks for 2026
Looking ahead, potential upside catalysts include possible Federal Reserve rate cuts, dollar weakness, and significant ETF inflows for XRP. Broader institutional adoption and engagement from Asian markets following the Lunar New Year could also drive momentum. However, downside risks remain, such as persistent inflation influencing interest rates, strong correlations between Bitcoin and equity markets, and regulatory challenges for XRP.
