The global landscape is increasingly fraught with tension, leading experts and AI systems to speculate on the possibility of World War III by 2026. Recent military actions, including the United States” operation in Venezuela and escalating conflicts involving Iran, have heightened these concerns. In light of these developments, we sought insights from four prominent AI chatbots regarding the likelihood of an impending global conflict and its possible repercussions on Bitcoin (BTC).
One notable perspective comes from ChatGPT, which assesses the risk of World War III as low, estimating a less than 4% probability of a NATO-Russia conflict this year. However, it acknowledges the potential for unexpected military confrontations that could lead to significant global instability. Should such a conflict arise, ChatGPT foresees an immediate crash in Bitcoin”s value, potentially exceeding 50%. The outlook, however, is not entirely bleak, as it anticipates a recovery in the weeks following the initial shock, particularly if conventional banking systems face severe disruptions.
Google”s Gemini echoes a cautious sentiment, expressing skepticism about a world war occurring before 2026. It describes the current geopolitical climate as a “tinderbox,” warning that any significant conflict could involve catastrophic weapons, drastically affecting financial markets. In such scenarios, Bitcoin might lose its appeal to short-term investors, with its future reliant on the stability of the Internet and power infrastructure.
Grok, integrated within the social media platform X, shares a more tempered view, suggesting that a potential global conflict could lead to a 20-30% decline in Bitcoin”s price. However, it predicts that this would be followed by an uptick in adoption and a rebound in Bitcoin”s value. Meanwhile, Perplexity provides an optimistic forecast, indicating that although Bitcoin might initially plummet due to military escalations, interest in the cryptocurrency could surge, resulting in a significant price rally over time.
As the world grapples with these geopolitical uncertainties, the reactions of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remain a focal point for investors and analysts alike. Understanding how these digital assets respond to global crises could provide crucial insights into their role as potential safe havens in turbulent times.
