In a notable development for the cryptocurrency market, recent analysis suggests that Bitcoin has historically bottomed approximately 23 months after each major all-time high (ATH). This pattern indicates that we are now entering a pivotal window, following Bitcoin”s peak in October 2025.
The insights come from analyst Crypto Tice, who shared a comprehensive chart that illustrates four significant ATH-to-bottom sequences in Bitcoin”s history. Each of these sequences is highlighted with a green bracket, clearly delineating the 23-month timeframe.
The first sequence captures the peak of 2013 and the subsequent bottom in 2015. The second spans from the 2017 peak to the lows of 2018 and 2019. The third bracket illustrates the journey from the 2021 peak to the bear market bottom observed in 2022 and 2023. The most recent bracket begins at the October 2025 high and extends forward, suggesting a similar timeline.
According to Tice”s analysis, these three historical cycles exhibit a consistent pattern, reinforcing the notion that the timing of Bitcoin”s bottoms is not arbitrary. Rather, it reflects a structural tendency within the market. As the 23-month mark approaches, it is believed that the downside momentum begins to exhaust, leading to a depletion of selling pressure.
While Tice emphasizes that historical patterns do not guarantee future outcomes, they do serve to shift probabilities in favor of potential buyers. Currently, the market conditions appear more favorable than they have been in the last two years.
However, Tice remains clear about the limitations of his analysis. He notes that the current macroeconomic environment is markedly different from previous cycles, with unique challenges such as stagflation concerns, geopolitical pressures, and potential forced selling from corporate treasury holders. These factors were not as pronounced during the 2018 and 2022 downturns.
As the market navigates this complex landscape, the question remains whether Bitcoin”s price action will adhere to its historical patterns. The upcoming months will be critical in determining if this timeframe holds true once again, as traders and investors closely monitor developments.
