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Bitcoin Price Decline Unlikely to End Soon as Retail Buying Surges

Bitcoin”s recent price drop may continue as retail investors buy while whales offload holdings.

The cryptocurrency market is facing potential further declines in Bitcoin prices as retail investors ramp up their buying activity following a drop below $70,000. Insights from the crypto sentiment platform Santiment indicate that while retail buyers are increasing their holdings, whale activity suggests the possibility of a continued price correction.

According to a recent report by Santiment, significant profit-taking occurred among whales—defined as those holding between 10 and 10,000 Bitcoin (BTC)—when the price peaked at $74,000. The report highlights that these key market players began offloading their assets shortly after the price surge, selling approximately 66% of their recent acquisitions since the price rose past $70,000.

Conversely, retail investors, categorized as those holding less than 0.01 Bitcoin, have been actively increasing their positions during this period. Santiment noted, “When retail buys while whales sell, it typically signals that the correction is not yet over.” As of the time of publication, Bitcoin was trading at $67,984, according to CoinMarketCap.

The recent decline in Bitcoin prices has contributed to a drop in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which fell by 6 points, indicating a further move into “Extreme Fear” territory with a score of 12. Market analyst Michael van de Poppe echoed similar sentiments, stating that if Bitcoin fails to find support in the $67,000 to $68,000 range, a retest of lower levels may be imminent before any potential recovery.

This downturn coincided with US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs experiencing their largest outflow since February 12, reporting a total of $348.9 million in net outflows across 11 ETF products, as per data from Farside.

Historically, Bitcoin has seen price corrections following significant highs. For instance, the price fell to $60,000 on February 6 during a prior downtrend from its all-time high of $126,000, before showing signs of recovery. Economist Timothy Peterson noted that this price level has historically acted as a bottom for Bitcoin prices, suggesting a 99.5% chance that it remains above $60,000 based on the Bitcoin Price to Metcalfe Value chart.

As the market navigates these fluctuations, both retail and institutional investors will be closely monitoring price movements, in hopes of identifying the next trend direction for Bitcoin.

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