Bitcoin (BTC) continues its downward trend, trading below the $77,000 mark as of February 2, primarily influenced by macroeconomic challenges, institutional withdrawals, and forced liquidations. Despite this volatility, market participants are keenly interested in potential price movements as they approach the end of February 2026. Artificial intelligence (AI) models are providing preliminary insights into possible price trajectories during this period of heightened uncertainty.
According to Finbold, their AI-driven price prediction tool aggregates forecasts from various models, including ChatGPT, Gemini 2.5 Flash, and Claude Sonnet 4. The collective prediction indicates a BTC price of $76,667 by February 28, 2026, a slight decrease from the current price of $76,784. This projection implies a potential loss of 0.14% by the end of the month, suggesting a return to levels not observed since April of the previous year.
However, this average figure might mask a broader range of expectations. Specifically, Claude Sonnet forecasts a possible rally of 7.44%, setting a target price of $82,500. In contrast, both Gemini and ChatGPT predict declines, with estimates of $72,500 and $75,000, respectively. This divergence among the AI models underscores the significant uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin”s near-term direction, influenced by factors such as macroeconomic policy, institutional investment strategies, and overall market liquidity.
In summary, these models suggest that Bitcoin is likely to remain within a defined range as February concludes. Nevertheless, the varying outlooks indicate that some erratic price movements could occur, particularly due to the bullish sentiment from Claude Sonnet offsetting the more pessimistic views from Gemini and ChatGPT.
The current decline in Bitcoin”s value reflects a combination of tightening macroeconomic conditions, a retreat of institutional investors via Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and the unwinding of leveraged positions. The cryptocurrency has breached key weekly support levels, including the pivotal 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $103,947. Furthermore, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 23.37, signaling deeply oversold market conditions and weak momentum. Meanwhile, the weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in a negative territory, with repeated failures near the 0.786 Fibonacci level ($102,700) indicating a trend of lower highs.
Market participants are closely monitoring whether BTC can reclaim the $78,000 level, which is associated with recent liquidation pressures, as a potential indicator that selling momentum is starting to ease.
