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Analysis

Altcoin Season 2026: Most Tokens Face Uncertain Future as Market Evolves

Investors are realizing the importance of real value in cryptocurrencies as altcoins struggle to demonstrate sustainability.

The cryptocurrency landscape is undergoing a significant transformation, prompting investors to reassess their strategies. Felix O. Hartmann, Managing General Partner at Hartmann Capital, has issued a sobering reminder regarding the current state of crypto and altcoins. He emphasizes that the era of easy and guaranteed profits in the crypto space is behind us, with an increasing focus on tangible value.

Hartmann elaborates that not all crypto investment funds are solely concentrated on tokens anymore. A growing number of venture capital firms have begun to diversify their approach, balancing investments between crypto tokens and traditional venture capital equity. For instance, Hartmann Capital”s early venture fund made successful investments in crypto-related projects, including a notable stake in an AI-oriented crypto company that yielded impressive returns even amid a bear market. However, he notes that their crypto hedge fund today has adopted a more discerning posture, prioritizing sectors such as real-world assets, decentralized finance (DeFi), and sustainable business models within the crypto ecosystem.

For years, many investors operated under the assumption that cryptocurrency followed a straightforward four-year cycle: invest early, wait for a bull market, and reap profits. Hartmann indicates that this mindset is gradually dissipating as investors recognize the necessity for authentic growth beneath the surface. The prevalent perception of crypto as a quick path to wealth has overlooked a crucial question: what drives that growth?

Bitcoin maintains a distinct position within the market, buoyed by a compelling narrative as digital gold, bolstered by institutional interest, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and a loyal base of long-term holders. This robust story provides Bitcoin with a level of resilience that altcoins currently struggle to match. Hartmann points out that many altcoin projects must now demonstrate their viability through metrics akin to those used by traditional companies, seeking to establish real revenue, earnings, and long-term sustainability.

A notable indicator of this evolving landscape is the shift in how success is measured in the crypto industry. Platforms that once exclusively emphasized metrics such as total value locked (TVL) are now focusing on revenue, profitability, and token buybacks. This pivot signifies that investors are no longer satisfied with mere activity; they demand evidence that crypto projects can generate actual financial returns.

The altcoin market has experienced considerable challenges since 2021, with many tokens underperforming as enthusiasm has waned. Hartmann suggests that this phase is indicative of a healthy maturation process for the market. Rather than succumbing to hype, the crypto sector is progressively gravitating toward fundamental principles. Projects that endure this transitional period may emerge stronger, more reliable, and increasingly appealing to serious investors over time.

The upcoming altcoin cycle is likely to deviate from the patterns of previous years. Future growth could favor projects that provide real utility, boast genuine users, and generate sustainable income streams, rather than relying solely on speculative trading. Although this adjustment may prove challenging, it has the potential to solidify the credibility of cryptocurrency as a legitimate asset class by 2026 or 2027.

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